Showing posts with label hopes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label hopes. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Libya hopes spark market rebound

22 August 2011 Last updated at 16:38 GMT Libyan rebels celebrating Fighting between the government and Libyan rebels has affected oil exports from the country Stock markets in Europe have rebounded, led by shares in energy firms, on hopes that fighting in Libya may soon end.

At close on Monday London's FTSE 100 was up 1.08% and the Cac 40 in Paris by 1.14%.

The rally follows a 5% to 10% slump on most markets on Thursday and Friday on recession fears in the US and Europe.

Oil prices initially fell on hopes that Libyan crude would soon come back on tap, before rising again on greater optimism about the global economy.

Business opportunities

During Asian trading hours, news from Libya combined with lingering anxiety over the economy to push the price of Brent crude futures down 3.2% to $105.15 a barrel.

By late afternoon in London, Brent was down at $1.51 a barrel to $107.11, while US sweet, light crude was up $0.74 at $83.15.

Continue reading the main story Leading the rebound in stocks were the European energy firms best placed to exploit future Libyan business opportunities.

Italian oil firm ENI - the most active foreign company in Libya before the conflict began - jumped 6.33%, while France's Total rose 2.25%, and Shell climbed 2.41%.

Exploration firms Cairn Energy and Afren - both active in Africa - rose 2.95% and 4.28% respectively.

Oil industry engineering and servicing firms also received a boost from strong financial results announced by Petrofac. The UK firm rose 3.68%, while oil rigs installer Lamprell jumped 3.77%.

In Milan, other non-energy businesses did well, reflecting the close business links between Italy and Libya.

The FTSE MIB index of 40 leading stocks rose 1.7%, outstripping other European bourses.

Transport and communications firm Ansaldo - which has many contracts with Libya - jumped 5%.

US markets also joined in, with the Dow Jones starting the day more than 1% higher, before slipping back slightly.

Increased supplies?

Markets are hoping that an end to the conflict in Libya will see the country's oil exports restored, increasing global supplies.

Libya is the world's 12th-largest oil exporter.

Analysts said oil prices were likely to fall further as the political situation in the country unfolds.

Before the start of the conflict, Libya produced 1.6 million barrels a day of crude oil, or about 2% of the world's output.

Continue reading the main story
In the long run macroeconomic issues will play a huge role in determining which way the oil prices are headed”

End Quote Avtar Sandhu Phillip Futures But as the political unrest in the country intensified, the majority of that production was hit, taking a toll on global oil supply.

"Once they get back to recovery mode, a million barrels per day are expected to enter the global supply," Jonathan Barratt of Commodity Broking told the BBC.

"This will add weight to the decline in oil prices that we have seen recently," he added.

Macroeconomic factors

However, some analysts said that even though the Libyan conflict seemed to be heading towards an end, there was still uncertainty about how fast the country's oil production could be restored to the pre-conflict levels.

"It will take a long time for them to repair the production facilities and get back on track," Avtar Sandhu of Phillip Futures told the BBC.

"What we are seeing today is more of a psychological selling."

Oil prices have also been hit by concerns in the past month that demand may be hurt by a slowdown in the global economy.

On Monday, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) confirmed that growth in the world's main industrialised economies had slowed for the fourth quarter in a row during the three months to June.

The trend was most marked in the eurozone, where growth fell to 0.2% versus a year earlier, compared with 0.8% in the previous quarter.

"We can count on slower economic growth in US and Europe, and that is going to impact demand for oil," Victor Shum of Purvin and Gertz told the BBC.

Analysts said that, with two of the world's biggest economic zones struggling to boost growth, oil prices are likely to slide.

"In the long run, macroeconomic issues will play a huge role in determining which way the oil prices are headed," Phillip Futures' Mr Sandhu said.

Japan threat

Markets saw heavy falls on Thursday and Friday last week on recession fears, and the negative sentiment carried over into Asian trading hours on Monday.

In Japan, the Nikkei ended the day 1% lower, although Hong Kong's Hang Seng index ended up 0.45% after a late rally.

Continue reading the main story Haven investments also did well during Asian trading, but then fell back as European shares rallied.

The price of gold had risen 2.3% prior to the Europe open, to hit yet another record high, of $1,894.5 per troy ounce - before sliding sharply.

The Japanese yen held steady half-a-yen above the record level of 76.1 yen to the dollar it set on Friday.

Japan's finance minister Yoshihiko Noda reiterated the government's readiness to intervene if the currency strengthened further.

"We will watch markets even more closely than before to see whether there is any speculative activity," he said.

"We won't rule out any measures and will take decisive action when necessary."

Meanwhile, the Swiss franc - another popular haven currency - weakened against the euro. The Swiss authorities intervened last week to curtail the strength of their currency.

Currency movements are also being driven by speculation that the US Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, will hint at further monetary stimulus measures in a major speech at Jackson Hole in Wyoming on Friday - something that is likely to weaken the dollar.


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Monday, April 25, 2011

Ferguson bullish over title hopes

First season a 'dream come true' - Hernandez

Manager Sir Alex Ferguson is confident in Manchester United's ability to seal a record 19th English league title after their 1-0 win at home to Everton.

Javier Hernandez's goal kept United six points ahead of Chelsea and nine above Arsenal, who have a game in hand.

"Games are running out for our rivals and we're up for it," said Ferguson.

"I enjoy this critical stage of a season when we are involved in big games that come thick and fast and I think we will be OK."

United now have four games remaining in the league and are closing in on a title that would take them above Liverpool's tally of 18.

They face Arsenal at the Emirates on Sunday, 1 May and entertain Chelsea at Old Trafford a week later, with Ferguson urging his players to wrap up the title by beating both of their nearest challengers.

"The thing that puzzles me is they [the media] keep saying Arsenal and Chelsea have got to play us still, like we're going to lose to them," added Ferguson. "But why shouldn't we win those games?

Phelan admits Man Utd selection was a risk

"As I said to the players, forget all that nonsense. Just try to win your games and you'll be all right, keep your heads and don't get carried away."

Manchester United left it until the 83rd minute to end the resistance of a dogged Everton side, Mexican Hernandez heading home an Antonio Valencia cross at the far post.

It was the striker's 19th goal of his debut season in England and Ferguson has admitted he did not expect Hernandez to get off to such an impressive start after his £6m move from Chivas.

"Javier has done better than everyone expected," added Ferguson. "We thought that because it was his first year, he would just get used to the English game and get strengthened up.

"He has passed all those tests. He is first in at nine o'clock every morning and he is the last to leave. He is a truly dedicated boy."

Hernandez says he would swap all of his 19 goals for a Premier League title.

"Of course it's a dream come true, this season," he said. "If we win the Premier League, that's an unbelievable thing. If I could swap all the goals for us to win the league then I would do it.

"We know we are almost there, but we can't afford to think like we've already won it. We go day by day, week by week.

"I'm very happy, but I'm happier because we got the three points. Here at Manchester United we need to win every game and it doesn't matter who scores."

Moyes praises Everton defence in defeat

Everton boss David Moyes paid tribute to his side and was left to rue their lack of an attacking threat, with United keeper Edwin van der Sar only having to make one save of note.

"It's disappointing to lose it late on because we'd been so resilient for so long and kept Man Utd at bay with some outstanding defending and goalkeeping," said Moyes.

"I can't fault players for their performance, but we didn't play well enough going forward and didn't cause them enough problems.

"We've got a few out injured and we're not quite where we'd like to be but the results in recent weeks have been terrific. Today they stuck at it and for most of the game they kept United at bay.

"I think our players should be at the top end of this league, they deserve to be. They competed really well."


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